The pick: Raiders at Chiefs (-3 ½): Who would have guessed the Raiders would have the more settled quarterback situation? Raiders, 21-17

The reality: Raiders, 23-8. It only took Darren McFadden two games to find his NFL legs. Justin who?

The pick: Titans at Bengals (-1): The Titans come off their big Week 1 win with a stinker. But a stinker is enough against the Bengals. Titans, 13-10

The reality: Titans, 24-7. Kerry Collins. Kurt Warner. What's next? Brian Sipe coming out of retirement to bail out the Browns?

The pick: Colts (-2) at Vikings: One of these teams is headed for a surprising 0-2 start. Colts, 28-24

The reality: Colts, 18-15. 31 points in two games? The Colts can usually get that in a decent half.

The pick: Saints at Redskins (pick): The 'Skins have a way of making decent teams play down to their miserable level. Saints, 24-21

The reality: Redskins, 29-24. Games like this can only be explained by reminding yourself that the NFL is designed to field 32 teams with 8-8 records. Anything else can be explained by good and bad breaks.

The pick: Packers (-3) at Lions: When in doubt go with the team with the running game. Packers, 23-21

The reality: Packers, 48-25. Folks in Green Bay vaguely remember a time before Aaron Rodgers, when some scruffy quarterback led them to a bunch of wins.

The pick: Bears at Panthers (-3): Both teams beat contenders last week, although neither looks like one. Panthers, 17-13

The reality: Panthers, 20-17. At 2-0, Carolina is perfectly positioned for medicrity.

The pick: Giants (-8 ½) at Rams: Eli Manning will get more resistance from his hotel mattress than from the Rams' defense today. Giants, 26-16

The reality: Giants, 41-13. It's only a rumor that Tom Coughlin called the NFL offices and asked to have the Giants moved to the NFC West.

The pick: Bills at Jaguars (-5 ½): The Bills will face an angry bunch of Jags, but this team seems up to the challenge. Bills, 20-14

The reality: Bills, 20-14. Defense has carried the Bills so far, and it could make them 3-0 this week.

The pick: Falcons at Bucs (-7 ½): Brian Griese gets another shot to prove he can get the job done. Don't expect a thing of beauty. Bucs, 25-17

The reality: Bucs, 24-9. Maybe it was too soon to declare the Falcons one-year turnaround candidates.

The pick: 49ers at Seahawks (-7): How do you become a solid 7-point home favorite after stinking it up in your opener? Host the 'Niners. Seahawks, 21-17

The reality: 49ers, 33-30 OT. If you have ever caught a football in your life you are a candidate to play receiver for the Seahawks this season.

The pick: Dolphins at Cardinals (-6 ½): Someone has to emerge in the awful NFC West. Why not the Cards? Cardinals, 24-14

The reality: Cardinals, 31-10. Bottom line -- In Warner, the Cards have the best quarterback in the division.

The pick: Patriots at Jets (-1 ½): Cassell is to Brady as spinach is to Krispy Kreme. Jets, 28-21

The reality: Patriots, 19-10. Bill Belichick is successfully morphing the Patriots from an offensive juggernaut into a defensive beast.

The pick: Ravens at Texans (-4 ½): It's doubtful the Texans were as bad -- or the Ravens as good -- as they looked last week. Texans, 23-14

The reality: Hurricaned out.

The pick: Chargers (-1 ½) at Broncos: Ever get the feeling the NFL schedule is designed for every team to be 1-1 after Week 2? Chargers, 24-23

The reality: Broncos, 39-38. Ed Hochuli would be happy to explain why I missed on this pick.

The pick: Steelers (-6) at Browns: Unless Shaun Rogers can cover Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes, the Browns are in for a long night. Steelers. 27-21

The reality: Steelers, 10-6. Before the season I said Brady Quinn could be quarterbacking the Browns by Week 6. Could be Week 4.

The pick: Eagles at Cowboys (-7): This week some of Tony Romo's passes actually will be contested. Eagles, 28-24

The reality: Cowboys, 41-37. Almost.

Straight up: 10-5

Spread: 9-6

Season

Straight up: 22-9

Spread: 18-13

-- John Dudley