Last week
Straight up: 12-4
Spread: 9-7
Season
Straight up: 102-57
Spread: 91-68
The pick: Jets at Patriots (-3 ½): It just feels right to start drinking the Favre Kool-Aid again. Jets, 20-17
The reality: Jets, 34-31. Karma prevailed, as Brett Favre slayed the evil Patriots dragon.
The pick: Broncos at Falcons (-5 ½): This assumes the Falcons won’t pull a Browns-esque fourth-quarter collapse. Falcons, 28-21
The reality: Broncos, 24-20. The Falcons remain everybody's NFC darling, but the Broncos have proven to be a tough out.
The pick: Raiders at Dolphins (-10 ½): Like the Dolphins, but not to cover this monster spread. Dolphins, 23-16
The reality: Dolphins, 17-15. And Raider Nation weeps on, another week closer to Al Davis' next coaching blunder.
The pick: Ravens at Giants (-6 ½): Someone could stove a finger when these hard-hitting teams get together. Giants, 24-17
The reality: Giants, 30-10. These G-men just want you to say it out loud -- "2007 was no fluke."
The pick: Texans at Colts (-8 ½): Just think how good Indy would be if Marvin Harrison could still catch. Colts, 31-20
The reality: Colts, 33-27. There were a few hairy moments until Peyton Manning got the offense untracked, but the Colts look pretty formidable again.
The pick: Titans (-3) at Jaguars: Maybe the toughest call of the week. Remind yourself that was the Lions Jacksonville beat up on last week. Jaguars, 17-13
The reality: Titans, 24-14. Love the way the Titans just show up and take care of business. Explain to me again why they can't go 16-0?
The pick: Bears at Packers (-5 ½): A chance for the Packers to tighten things up in the NFC North. Packers, 23-17
The reality: Packers, 37-3. Nice of the Bears to show up for this one. This is actually a division title contender?
The pick: Eagles (-9) at Bengals: The way the Eagles gave up rushing yards to the Giants, who knows. Nah, it’s the Bungles. Eagles, 38-13
The reality, 13-13. Some good came of this. Donovan McNabb finally experienced the sensation of an NFL tie.
The pick: Saints (-4 ½) at Chiefs: Good opportunity for a bounce-back game that keeps the Saints alive in the NFC playoff race. Saints, 35-21
The reality: Saints, 30-22. Look out now, the Saints finally figured out to win away from their dome.
The pick: Lions at Panthers (-14): Points, first downs, positive yards. All will be hard to come by for the Lions today. Panthers, 24-3
The reality: Panthers, 31-22. The Lions aren't necessarily cowards, they're just really, really bad.
The pick: Vikings at Bucs (-4): It should come down to whether the Bucs’ defense can tackle Adrian Peterson. Bucs, 23-19
The reality: Bucs, 19-13. For the first time since their Super Bowl run, the Bucs and their coach have that look again.
The pick: Rams at 49ers (-4): To borrow a phrase from my buddy Huey, sometimes bad is bad. 49ers, 20-16
The reality: 49ers, 35-16. Two serious underachievers slug it out in the sewer.
The pick: Cardinals (-3 ½) at Seahawks: Sure, this seems like a dangerous game for Arizona. But Kurt Warner should have his way with Seattle’s defense. Cardinals, 28-24
The reality: Cardinals, 26-20. they're having some fun out in the desert right now.
The pick: Chargers at Steelers (-4): Expect a bounce-back game from Ben Roethlisberger against the Chargers’ sub-par defense. Steelers, 24-20
The reality: Steelers, 11-10. You had to wonder who was paying the officials to do this game.
The pick: Cowboys (-2 ½) at Redskins: Tony Romo is back, which should really calm things down for the Cowboys. Yeah, right. Cowboys, 27-24
The reality: Cowboys, 14-10. Mood swing alert -- everybody's happy again in Big D.
The pick: Browns at Bills (-4): Start of a three-game stretch against losing teams for the Bills, who really need it. Bills, 26-21
The reality: Browns, 29-27. Good win for the Browns, although Phil Savage probably should have gone to bed before checking his e-mails.
-- John Dudley