While models are still wavering a bit on the storm's track, it is safe to say that our viewing area will see some snow from the next system running through the region.
CLICK TO VIEW GFS SNOW FORECAST
CLICK TO VIEW ETA SNOW FORECAST
The GFS forecast seems to be a little heavy with the snow calling for 2-4" for Erie and Warren Counties, with 4-6" for Crawford County. The ETA leaves Erie County alone, and puts most of the snow in Crawford County (3-6"). Warren County, according to this model, will see 1-3".
The number one rule when using models is to not look at just one model while forecasting. I think, in this case, we are going to split the difference between the two since they closely match-up.
The forecast for tonight and early tomorrow's snow:
For areas from Erie to Edinboro, East to The City of Warren, expect 1-3". The further North you are, the less you can expect as this storm is slipping bye to the South.
From the Erie/Crawford County Line, southward 4-6" could accumulate. The heaviest accumulations appear to be from Southern Crawford County trough Mercer, Venango, Forest, Clarion and Lawrence Counties. In those spots, up to 8" is possible.
Remember to check the weather page on wsee.tv for the latest updates!
Ray Petelin,
WSEE Storm Team Meteorologist